TOUCHLINEUI: 2014/15 ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE RELEGATION RUN-IN AND THE TEAMS GUNNING FOR THE DROP.

Countdown to the climax of the 2014 EPL season. While the struggle for the top honors is far from over, the fight against the drop is just as intense with eight clubs looking to preserve their Premier League status for another year.

With 3 of these sides certain to go down, TouchlineUI explores all the possible outcomes looking at the form, fixtures left, key ones and afterwards give our verdict on which teams will lose their English Premier League status and a share of the 5.1 billion pound cake. We decided to leave out Everton and Crystal Palace as we expect them to beat the drop.

  • NEWCASTLE UNITED

CURRENT POSITION: 13th with 35 points

FORM (LAST SIX GAMES)

HOME FORM: D L D W L L

AWAY FORM: L W D L L L

OVERALL: L W L L L L (20th on the Form Log)

Saturday’s Tyne-Wear derby loss to Sunderland was the Magpies fourth in a row in the Premier League. John Carver’s side currently tops the out of form chart. Mike Ashley’s club might not be in immediate danger but should they continue this stuttering form, they could find themselves in the murky waters of relegation.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

Thankfully, they have a decent run-in in the bid to avoid the drop. Away games to almost doomed Leicester City and Queens Park Rangers will be key while home games against West Brom and West Ham should provide points. However, it is almost inconceivable to think they’ll beat Liverpool away while Spurs and the Swans would be tricky away guests.

DATE TEAM FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
13th April Liverpool (A) W L
19th April Tottenham Hotspur (H) W D
25th April Swansea (H) D L
2nd May Leicester City (A) W D
9th May West Bromwich Albion (H) W D
16th May Queens Park Rangers (A) W L
24th May West Ham United (H) L W

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 41 points

  • WEST BROMWICH ALBION

CURRENT POSITION: 14th with 33 points

FORM

HOME FORM: W L W W W L

AWAY FORM: D D D D L L

OVERALL: D W L W L L (12th on the Form Log)

West Brom was on the edge not of glory but disaster before Toni Pulis came on board. With the former Crystal Palace boss steadying the ship, making the Hawthorns compact and hard to break down, relegation fears were beginning to fade especially with club record signing, Brown Ideye getting his goal-scoring mojo back. The weekend 4-1 home loss to Queens Park Rangers is however a rude reminder that whilst the relegation specialist has brought his magic wand to the Hawthorns; much still has to be done to mathematically ensure survival.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

It’s a tough run-in for the Bagpipes but a home win against Leicester City this weekend should ease any potential relegation fears. Home games against Liverpool and leaders Chelsea might prove tricky though Albion drew against Mourinho’s men in the corresponding fixture last season. Away games at Crystal Palace, Manchester United, Newcastle United and Arsenal will complete the Baggies campaign.

DATE TEAM FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April Leicester City (H) W W
18th April Crystal Palace (A) D D
25th April Liverpool (H) L D
2nd May Manchester United (A) D L
9th May Newcastle United (A) L D
18th May Chelsea FC (H) L D
24th May Arsenal FC (A) L L

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 40

  • SUNDERLAND

CURRENT POSITION: 15th with 29 points

FORM (last six games)

HOME: L W L D L W

AWAY: L L D L D L

OVERALL: D L D L L W (15th on the Form Log)

Sunderland’s 1-0 derby win over Newcastle was their first win in six games and Dick Advocaat first as the Wearside Boss. Does it mean they have turned things around the around? Their final seven games will give a clearer picture. If they are to avoid relegation, they’ll need Jermain Defoe who got the winner on Sunday to fire in the goals. The 12th EPL highest goal scorer will need to increase that tally to ensure the Black Cats beat the drop. The mythical 9 lives would come in handy too.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

Sunderland will play Arsenal, Southampton and Chelsea in their final seven games with the game at the Bridge the last of their fixtures. It’s difficult to see where the points will come from in these games though they could fancy themselves against Chelsea who by then should have won the League and possibly eased off on the pedal. Last home game to Leicester City will be key and any result there will seal their fate.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April Crystal Palace (H) W D
25th April Stoke City (A) W L
2nd May Southampton (H) L D
9th May Everton (A) D L
16th May Leicester City (H) D W
20th May Arsenal (A) L L
24th May Chelsea (A) D L

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 34

  • ASTON VILLA

CURRENT POSITION: 16th with 29 points

FORM:

HOME: L L L W L D

AWAY: L L L L W L

OVERALL: L W W L L D (12th in the Form Log)

Tim Sherwood’s appointment might have lifted the atmosphere but recent results still show that the work is far from finished. The Villains have suffered back to back losses though the one against Manchester United was probably expected. Much will be expected from Christian Benteke and Scott Sinclair as they bid to avoid the drop. With the Belgian bagging a hat-trick in Wednesday’s draw with QPR, it looks like the screw has finally been turned especially with the treble being his fifth goal in his last seven top flight games.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

Sherwood’s men have an easier run-in compared to their fellow relegation strugglers.  They face a number of sides in and around the relegation zone as the 2014/15 season draws to a close. The key game will however be their final game at home to Burnley.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April Tottenham Hotspur (A) L L
25th April Manchester City (A) L L
2nd May Everton (H) L D
9th May West Ham (H) D W
16th May Southampton (A) D D
24th May Burnley (H) D D

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 35 points

  • HULL CITY

CURRENT POSITION: 17th with 28 points

FORM

HOME: W L W W D L

AWAY: L L D L D L

OVERALL:  W L D D L L (17th on the Form Log)

With just one win their last six league games, it’s easy to see why the Tigers are back in the relegation zone after it seemingly looked like they had swum out of it weeks back. With seven games left, Steve Bruce’s men must start picking up points or risk dropping down a division.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

Away games at the Saint Mary’s and Old Trafford and home dates with Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United make for a tricky countdown for the Tigers. Games at the Selhurst Park and at home to Burnley are winnable but will not come easy especially with the latter still flirting with relegation and of course capable of an upset.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April Southampton (A) L L
18th April Liverpool (H) D L
25th April Crystal Palace (H) W W
4th May Arsenal (H) D D
9th May Burnley (H) L D
16th May Tottenham Hotspur (A) L L
24th May Manchester United (H) L W

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 36 points

  • Burnley

CURRENT POSITION: 18th with 26 points

FORM

HOME: W L D L W D

AWAY: D L L D L L

OVERALL: D L L W L D

Burnley is humble and extremely hardworking – an ethos Sean Dyche has instilled in the side. With little funds and star players in the side, team cohesion has been the hallmark of the Clarets. TThey’vetaken points off the Manchester sides and Chelsea already which makes one wonder why they are wallowing in relegation. We think it’s down to their inability to score enough goals and their poor away form. Yes, Danny Ings has been impressive but no one has really stepped up the plate to relieve the young Englishman.

However, with Ings set to leave upon the expiry of his contract, he could do his side the favor of keeping them up in the division.

 

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REMAINING FIXTURES

Home clash against Leicester City on the 25th of April is a huge one and will go some way to determine their league status at the end of the season. Also final day game at the Villa Park is another one with high stakes.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April Arsenal (H) L D
18th April Everton (A) L L
25th April Leicester City (H) D W
2nd May West Ham (A) L D
9th May Hull City (A) W L
16th May Stoke City (H) W W
24th May Aston Villa (A) D D

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 35 Points

  • Queens Park Rangers

CURRENT POSITION: 19th with 26 points

FORM

HOME: D L L L L L

AWAY: L W L L W D

OVERALL: L L L L W D (18th on the Form Log)

At the beginning of the season, The Hoops found it hard to pick points outside Loftus Road…Fast forward and in their last six home games, Ramsey’s side has lost the last five while their away form has been encouraging picking up seven points in the same number of games and four in their last two which includes a 6 goal thriller at Villa Park.

If the R’s are too engineer a great escape, they have to go back to the basics and start picking points at home starting with the West London Derby against Chelsea this weekend.

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REMAINING FIXTURES

While the present looks bleak, games against Spurs, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City do not offer much hope and the final game at home to Leicester could unfortunately turn out to be meaningless.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
12th April Chelsea (H) L L
25th April West Ham (H) L W
2nd May Liverpool (A) L L
10th May Manchester City (A) D L
16th May Newcastle United (H) L W
24th May Leicester City (A) W D

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 33 points

  • Leicester City

Current League Position: 20th with 30 points

FORM

HOME: L W L L D W

AWAY: D L L L D L L

OVERALL: L D L D L W (14th on the Form Log)

The Foxes are in a precarious position with eight to go for them. They are currently seven points from safety after embarking on a eight match winless run in which they picked up just two points. Though they have rarely been thrashed this season, the inability of Nigel Pearson to pick up enough victories has cost them a great deal. They have lost the most games this season which is twenty. Going going…….

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REMAINING FIXTURES

They have eight decisive fixtures and any slip up in those games and it’s the Championship next season. You suspect that their remaining games will be treated like a cup final. Looking at the games, it’s almost inconceivable to think they will pick up points against Spurs, Chelsea and Sotton but they will have to fight for everything. Fixtures against Hull, West Brom and QPR might just determine where they will be next season.

DATE OPPONENT FIRST LEG RESULT PREDICTED OUTCOME
11th April West Brom (A) L L
18th April Swansea (H) L D
25th April Burnley (A) D L
29th April Chelsea (H) L L
2nd  May Newcastle United (H) L D
9th May Southampton (H) L D
16th May Sunderland (A) D L
24th May Queens Park Rangers (H) L D

 

PREDICTED POINT HAUL: 26 points

Should our prediction be correct, Newcastle United will finish with 41 points while West Bromwich Albion will end the campaign on 40 points thus escaping the danger zone with some comfort. However, Hull City, Aston Villa and Burnley will just about escape relegation while Sunderland, Queens Park Rangers and Leicester City will suffer the ignominy of relegation which means we won’t for the first time since 1997/98 have the three newly promoted lose their Premier League status at the first time of asking.

Over to you, which sides do you think will avoid the drop and which sides in your view are destined for doom?

 

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